Strong Housing Demand Forecast Through 2017: BCREA 2016 First Quarter Housing Forecast Update

Vancouver, BC – January 28, 2016. The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) released 2016 First Quarter Housing Forecast Update today.

MLS Residential Unit Sales by Region BC 2005-2017Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) residential sales in the province are forecast to edge back 6.2 per cent to 96,100 units this year, after reaching 102,517 units in 2015. Strong consumer demand is expected to push MLS® residential sales up by 2 per cent to 98,000 units in 2017.

Housing demand in the province is being supported by a relatively robust economy, leading to strong employment growth and rising wages. In addition, net interprovincial migration is on an upswing as many Albertans look to BC for job opportunities. BC home sales are forecast to remain well above the ten-year average of 83,200 units over the next two years.

“The inventory of homes for sale is now at its lowest level in almost a decade,” said Cameron Muir, BCREA Chief Economist. “Fewer homes for sale and strong consumer demand are expected to push home prices higher in most BC regions this year and in 2017.” The average MLS® residential price in the province is projected to increase 6.4 per cent to $677,200 this year and a further 4.1 per cent to $705,300 in 2017.

New home construction activity is expected to remain at elevated levels corresponding to strong consumer demand and relatively thin inventories, particularly on the South Coast. Total housing starts in the province are forecast to remain close to an annual pace of 30,000 units through 2017, which will be the strongest two year performance since the 2007-2008 period.

December Smashes Home Sales Record and 2015 Enters Record Book, BCREA

Vancouver, BC – January 15, 2016. The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) reports that a record number of home sales were recorded in the province for the month of December. A total of 6,590 residential unit sales were recorded by the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) last month, up 29.8 per cent from the same month the previous year. Total sales dollar volume hit a record $4.62 billion for the month of December, up 55.4 per cent compared to the previous year.

MLS Residential Sales December 2015The average MLS® residential price in the province climbed above the $700,000 threshold for the first time in BC last month, rising 19.7 from December 2014 to $700,943.

“The 2015 housing market finished in dramatic fashion, with record demand for month of December,” said Cameron Muir, BCREA Chief Economist. “BC home sales breached the 100,000 unit threshold in 2015, and it was only the third time on record that this high watermark was achieved.”

The combination of record home average home prices and near record annual unit sales prices propelled the dollar volume of MLS® residential to a record $65.3 billion in 2015, up nearly 37 per cent from the previous year. The average annual residential price reached a record $636,627 last year, up 12 per cent from 2014. A total of 102,517 residential unit sales were recorded, an increase of 22 per cent compared to 2014. A record 106,310 residential unit sales were recorded in 2005, while the only other year eclipsing 2015 were 2007 when 102,805 unit sales were recorded.

Kamloops District Real Estate Associations Statistics For December 2015, Fourth Quarter and Year End

Kamloops District Real Estate Associations Statistics For December 2015, Fourth Quarter and Year End. Click the image to enlarge.

Comparative Analysis by Property Type Annual for 2015

Kamloops Real Estate Comparative Analysis by Property Type Annual for 2015

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Comparative analysis by property type December 2015 Kamloops Real Estate Statistics

Kamloops Real Estate Comparative analysis by property type December 2015

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Kamloops Sales by Subarea Year End Annual 2015

Kamloops Real Estate Sales by Subarea Year End Annual 2015

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MLS Activity December 2015 Kamloops Real Estate Statistics

Kamloops Real Estate MLS Activity December 2015

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Out of Town Sales by Subarea 4th Fourth Quarter 2015-page-001

Out of Town Sales by Subarea 4th Fourth Quarter 2015

Out of Town Sales by Subarea 4th Fourth Quarter 2015-page-002

Out of Town Sales by Subarea 4th Fourth Quarter 2015

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Out of town Sales by Subarea December 2015-page-001

Out of town Sales by Subarea December 2015

Out of town Sales by Subarea December 2015-page-002

Out of town Sales by Subarea December 2015

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Out of Town Sales by Subarea, Year 2015-page-001

Out of Town Sales by Subarea, Year 2015

Out of Town Sales by Subarea, Year 2015-page-002

Out of Town Sales by Subarea, Year 2015

Sales by subarea 4th Fourth Quarter 2015 Kamloops Real Estate Statistics

Kamloops Real Estate Sales by subarea 4th Fourth Quarter 2015

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Sales by subarea December 2015 Kamloops Real Estate Statistics

Kamloops Real Estate Sales by subarea December 2015

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Robust Housing Demand Continues in October, BCREA

Vancouver, BC – November 12, 2015. The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) reports that a total of 8,725 residential unit sales were recorded by the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in October, up 14.1 per cent from the same month last year. Total sales dollar volume was $5.8 billion, up 32.3 per cent compared to the previous year. The average MLS® residential price in the province rose to $667,480, up 16 per cent from October 2014.

BC Market Conditions Sales to Listings Ratio Oct 2015“Consumer demand continued at a heightened pace in October,” said Brendon Ogmundson, BCREA Economist. “Market conditions have diverged significantly in the province as very low supply and a near record pace of home sales in the metro-Vancouver area is offsetting resource sector driven weakness in northern markets.“

“There was a four month supply of residential inventory province wide in October, with markets in the Lower Mainland and Victoria closer to three months of supply. A balanced market typically exhibits a five to eight month supply of homes for sale.

The year-to-date, BC residential sales dollar volume increased 33.6 per cent to $55.3 billion, when compared with the same period in 2014. Residential unit sales climbed by 20.4 per cent to 87,895 units, while the average MLS® residential price was up 11 per cent to $628,909.

Housing Demand to Ease but Remain Elevated in 2016, BCREA 2015 Fourth Quarter Housing Forecast

Vancouver, BC – November 10, 2015. The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) released its 2015 Fourth Quarter Housing Forecast Update today.

November 10, 2015. The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) released its 2015 Fourth Quarter Housing Forecast Update today.Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) residential sales in the province are projected to surpass 100,000 units this year. This level of home sales will be the third strongest on record and mark the first year since 2007 that BC home sales exceed the ten year average.

After climbing 15 per cent in 2014 and nearly 20 per cent this year, BC MLS® residential sales are forecast to decline 7 per cent to 93,700 units in 2016. “Less latent pent-up demand and gradual upward momentum of mortgage interest rates is expected to ease housing demand next year,” said Cameron Muir, BCREA Chief Economist.

“The inventory of homes for sale is now at its lowest level in nearly eight years,” added Muir. “Sellers’ market conditions are prevailing in many communities and causing home prices to be pushed higher.” The average MLS® residential price in the province is projected to increase 10.2 per cent to $626,000 this year and forecast to slow to a 2.2 per cent increase at $639,700.
Total housing starts in the province are projected to reach over 30,000 units this year, the highest level of production since 2008. Capacity constraints and an edging back of consumer demand is largely behind a forecast decline of BC housing starts, albeit just to 28,800 units in 2016.

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