Commercial Projects Brighten Construction Picture for Kamloops

This article appeared in the Kamloops Daily News on July 6th, 2012.

New Construction Kamloops BC Real EstateCommercial and institutional construction is keeping builders in Kamloops busy while residential work is lagging slightly from last year.

City acting chief building inspector Bruce Barclay said Friday the first half of this year has seen construction values surpass $100 million. Last year at this time, those values were at $84 million.

The main driver behind that is business and institutional projects, he said.

For example, there’s a new $12.2-million seniors’ residence going up on Tranquille Road in Brocklehurst.

Single family construction is at $20 milion halfway through the year, while it was at $21.3 million at this point in 2011. Multi-family is down a bit, too, but expected to move upward as demand in that market rises.

Barclay said by the end of the year, he expects the construction-value total to be around $175 million. Pretty good, given an average year in Kamloops is between $120 and $140 million, and that the economy is still considered to be relatively flat.

“We’re on for a very strong year,” he said.

There are still some big-number projects expected to come through City Hall for permits this year, including Telus’s $30-million data centre, $6 million for Walmart’s expansion and $6.5 million for Target’s renovations to its Zellers location.

Kamloops has always paced itself well where commercial and residential construction is concerned, Barclay said.

“We’ve never done a Kelowna or a Vancouver to build it and they will come,” he said.

Instead, the buildings have been constructed as they’ve been needed.

“That’s the way most of our builders work. They’re not going to build without there being something there.”

City community development manager Randy Lambright said the numbers are encouraging, especially given the economy is being described as sluggish to recover from the 2008 recession.

“It’s all good and it can only get better, depending what happens with new industry coming into town with or without Ajax mine,” he said, adding there’s interest from other businesses in coming to town.

“It’s a manageable rate of growth.”

Housing prices are driving a growing interest in multi-family housing, which is raising more questions at City Hall about density and what should be encouraged for infill.

But, overall, all the construction figures for this year are positive, even on the housing side, he said.

Bank of Canada Likely to Hold Interest Rates Until July 2013: BMO

This article appeared in the Financial Post on July 3rd, 2012.

TORONTO — The Bank of Montreal predicted Tuesday that the Bank of Canada will keep interests rates lower for longer than it expected.

Economists at the bank now believe the central bank will not raise its key rate until July 2013, six months later than their earlier prediction of January 2013.

Senior economist Michael Gregory said the change stems from the easing policy of the U.S. Federal Reserve, a downgraded Canadian economic outlook and tightened mortgage rules.

The changes, which include a cut to the maximum amortization period for government insured mortgages cut to 25 years from 30, should stem some fears around growing household debt that would otherwise push the Bank of Canada to increase rates sooner.

“The tightening of the government’s mortgage insurance rules does serve to act like higher interest rates specifically for that sector,” Gregory said. “So that takes some of the urgency away from the Bank of Canada to adjust rates any time soon.”

The Bank of Canada has kept its key interest rate at one per cent since September 2010.

The rate affects the prime lending rates at Canada’s major banks and in turn influences all kinds of interest rates including those charged to variable rate mortgages and lines of credit.

Gregory said he expects that the Bank of Canada will change its projections for economic growth when it releases its new monetary policy report on July 18.

“I suspect it will show softer growth in Canada, partly because of global factors and in part because of what’s going on in the U.S,” said Gregory.

CMHC Housing Market Outlook for British Columbia in 2012 and 2013

CMHC Canadian Mortgage and Housing CorporationVICTORIA, BRITISH COLUMBIA–(Marketwire – June 14, 2012) – According to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s (CMHC) Second quarter Housing Market Outlook British Columbia Highlights Report, housing starts in British Columbia are forecast to increase in 2012 and 2013.

“Home builders are expected to gradually ramp up residential construction in response to positive signals from the resale market and economic developments,” explained Carol Frketich, CMHC’s BC Regional Economist.

Housing starts are forecast to increase to 28,600 homes in 2012 and 30,100 homes in 2013. This increase in residential construction follows a period of stable home building in 2011. Job creation and population growth will boost single-detached home starts in 2012 and 2013. Multiple-family home starts will continue their upward trend.

The resale market is forecast to maintain balanced supply and demand conditions in 2012. A slightly higher sales-to-new listings ratio, reflecting stronger demand for ownership housing, is projected for 2013 alongside an expected modest pick-up in economic growth. Sales of existing homes are forecast to increase to 79,100 MLS®1 transactions in 2012 and 82,400 in 2013. The annual average MLS® price is forecast to moderate slightly to $548,100 in 2012 and increase to $566,900 in 2013.

More detailed CMHC housing market forecasts are available for the Vancouver, Abbotsford-Mission, Victoria and Kelowna Census Metropolitan Areas in the suite of Housing Market Outlook Reports available online. Forecasts for Prince George, Kamloops and Nanaimo are available in the Housing Market Outlook British Columbia Highlights Report.

As Canada’s national housing agency, CMHC draws on more than 65 years of experience to help Canadians access a variety of high quality, environmentally sustainable and affordable housing solutions. CMHC also provides reliable, impartial and up-to-date housing market reports, analysis and knowledge to support and assist consumers and the housing industry in making informed decisions.

For more information, and to download CMHC’s housing reports, please visit CMHC’s website at www.cmhc.ca/housingmarketinformation or call 1-800-668-2642.

1 Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) is a registered trademark owned by the Canadian Real Estate Association

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