Canada’s Subprime Mortgage Secret

The Globe and Mail recently published an article detailing what they called “Canada’s dirty subprime secret”. They looked into over 10,000 Canadian foreclosure proceedings and uncovered a subprime mortgage problem that many (including PM Stephen Harper) claimed does not exist in Canada. Here are some of the main points of the article. Some readers claim the article is fear-mongering and exaggerating the situation while other readers claim that we haven’t seen anything yet. I will let you form your own opinions.  I would love to hear what you think. You can view the entire article by clicking the link at the end of this post.

- Data from both B.C. and Alberta governments and two private companies that specialize in tracking foreclosure proceedings show that lenders are foreclosing on homes at an “alarming rate”.
- More than half of foreclosures in 2008 were initiated by a number of subprime lenders who targeted riskier borrowers with poor credit histories.
- Thousands of homeowners borrowed more than they could afford and lenders lent money too easily.
- The number of unsold homes in Canadian cities is building which has ultimately depressed the value of homes of even people who haven’t overextended themselves.
- Canada does not report court ordered sales or foreclosure numbers like the USA which uses the data to gauge it’s economic health. In Canada it is hard to get these detailed numbers.
- In B.C. and Alberta private companies collect foreclosure data from the courts. Ontario handles their foreclosures through a process known as “power-of-sale which effectively removed the issue from the courts and shielded the scope of the problem”.
- Canada’s real estate sector has not suffered as much as the USA.
- It was common in the past couple years to hear companies who had relaxed lending practices state “We say yes when the banks say no” and “No income verification”.
- We do have a subprime problem in Canada, lenders significantly reduced their lending standards over the past five years.
- Vancouver courts are overwhelmed with the flood of foreclosure applications. It now takes six weeks to process an order vs. one day six months ago.
- Subprime lenders “trashed the market”. These lenders gave loans that no sound financial institution would touch.
- Many wealthy individulas offered private high-interest-rate mortgages to homeowners who already had high debt and are now foreclosing on the properties at lower values than projected.
- Canadian government agencies don’t publish numbers on the scope of high-risk lending also banks and other mortgage lenders don’t disclose details about these loans know as “non-conforming” loans.
- Until the early 2000′s: subprime mortgage lending was often done by private investors or mortgage lenders who would take a gamble and charge high interest rates to home buyers who didn’t meet conservative lending requirements. This was a very small percentage of mortgage lending.
- Mid 2000′s: this small percentage mortgage lending changed into the fastest growing segment of the country’s mortgage market. This brought aggressive U.S. mortgage lenders to the Canadian real estate market which happened predominantly in the west.
- The mentality was as long as real estate values continued to increase the lenders were not taking on a high amount of risk because they could always foreclose homes and sell at a profit.
- Aggressive U.S. mortgage insurers that were approved by the Canadian federal government in 2006. These mortgage newcomers further minimized their risk by selling mortgages to entities that sold securities backed by mortgages to investors.
- Benjamin Tal, an economist with CIBC world markets was one of the first to sound the alarm. He published a report in late 2006 that estimated subprime loans were growing at a “meteoric” annual rate of 50 per cent by the end of 2006, becoming the fastest growing segment of Canada’s mortgage market.
- In 2006, Mr. Tal estimated more than 85,000 Canadian homeowners had subprime loans.
- Late 2007 easy money and soaring real estate prices tempted many borrowers and lenders into viewing homes as cash machines. Numerous second and third mortgages at high rates of interest were taken out to fund a lifestyle that was not financially responsible.

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  1. Kirsten, you seem like a lovely lady, however please don`t misunderstand why bubbles form in the first place. All interest rates and cheap credit my dear. Has our own M3 (credit supply contracted yet like in the USA) It hasn`t due to the fact that when the first contraction came in 2007 Canadians screamed and whined and the government caved (which is what they do by the way – they are politicians you know) with 0.5% central bank policy lending policy and stimulus to the tune of 50 billion which turned into 125 billion as this is always what happens in government. They underestimate the losses. Now….over the next year or two you will see what will happen to Canadians and their indebtness. They now rival their US counter parts in Debt percentage to GDP. The CMHC is on the hook greater than Fanny Mae and Freddie Mac were before the bubble burst because of the decades of loose mortgage lending policy (you know the 5% DP or less). Here is the greatest factor you can account for. The average home in the USA is 175K and falling as wave 2 of the double dip in housing hits. Our Canadian market is still at around 325K average across Canada. The difference has always been around 25-30K between our two countries in average price of a home because of the weaker loonie however now that we are at parity do you think there is a bit of a disconnect here. No my dear this will not be a nice soft landing and if you believe your so called leaders who had a moral obligation to do the right thing in 2007 which was to keep the interest rates higher rather than follow the USA like a good 53rd state) then you will be seriously disillusioned when the bubble collapses. It will be fast and furious and not soft. Carney is now warning. So is Flaherty. Too little too late and you know if they are warning they follow the trend, they don`t lead it. All they want to be able to say is, `hey we told you`when the shit hits the fan. However don`t believe a word they say. It is their very loose monetary policy and a reliance on asset price increase and gambling models (like the OLG here in Ontario) that destroyed our country, no different than the USA. If you think I am wrong then you ignore inflationary impact of money over the past 30 years and the false demand stimulated by cheap credit or M3 expansion. This ignores why these collapses happpen in the first place….and states that bubbles are good for the economy. Manufacturing, indistrial output and expanding market share in these areas is the only type of good debt. The rest is bad and destroys an economy over time. It allows you to think you are far richer than you are and you believe it because of false demand. This in turn stimulates high risk which always ends badly for most. In high risk 95% lose. Where do you think this is going. Rememebr what I am saying here because I have been saying the same thing except in much more detail to our leaders since 2005. Oh by the way did you know Moartgages are considered assets on banks books. This works in infaltionary times but that model collpases and is destroyed in deflation. These huge gains turninto losses. THe banks in the US were the same before the bubble burst which would almost lead one to believe that bankers really don`t understand their own lending models do they. It is the buy and hold philosophy in the real estate market. You know if you hold you position long enough you`ll win. Except there is one problem. Markets don`t work like this.
    Sorry for the doom and gloom but reality is what it is and I will be shorting the subprime market.
    cheers,
    Marc

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